Thursday, June 14, 2007

Advanced Tech to play in High Volatile Market

Please note that this tech is based on statistics but can't guarantee certain thing. The description inside such a tech is for experienced trader or speculators because it requires dedicated judgement and cool mindset. Also such a method involves big risk if you are not familar with TA anlysis. Moreover it incorporates my strong personal bias or thinking which you may not agree , that is why it will look controversial but indeed a very powerful trick.

And for specific reason, I won't like to get this idea public ( could be searched by goog or other search engine ) therefore all my friends here, please leave with your email address.

Below is first part of this article.
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Old technique to be thrown away 1

After watching NMX today and HMIN several days ago, I have realized that one technique that has been used for quite a while should be thrown away. The technique, here I mean, is the waiting for confirmation. My successfully catching bottom of AAPL and DXPE really assure me an era is coming for quick response, -- buying in panic while others are watching or selling. My own subjectivity with a quick and formative mind works much better without confirmation. We have learned from many books that you will be buying stocks or the market as they are going down, or shorting/selling them as they are going up. In other words, buying low and selling high when you see confirmation. Can they get lower? That is no doubt about that. Most of the time they will go lower than what you think to be, something similar to what people has consistently warned you “don’t catch a falling knife”, “don’t try to get into the bottom until you really see a bottom”. And most of the books sold in bookstore told you an approach: wait until you see a stock hit the bottom and then start to move up. Sounds genius, we reduce the chance of catching a falling knife, we raise our chance to follow the money trend, fabulous? It seems it is too true to be rejected. Let’s get a little bit deeper into this concept to find out whether this statement is true or not.

27 comments:

Stock Note for Baogong said...

Qianhu:

Am I the first one to ask for this advancded tech. I am just beginnig to play stock. I learned a lot from your blog. my email is bgjiang@gmail.com

also, when we you decide to investiage insider buy/sell?

tomx said...

cisco.tomx@gmail.com
thanks qianhu!

hehe..

cwwjfl said...

Hi Qianhu,

It would be nice if you can tell me some details about this new tech. Also please let me know how a newbie like me can join your group.

My email is feilinj@gmail.com

Metronic said...

pls check your mailbox.

m31 said...

Hi qianhu, I am having fun these two days with my little fund and trying to get a feeling of the market. My email address is jwbuystock@gmail.com Thanks.

Wang Wang said...

I strongly agree with your points. Nowadays, stocks usually bounce back, not slowly recover, from the bottom. Mostly it'll be too late after the confirmation is seen. Could you please send me the details about your tech to handle such situations? yimapo@yahoo.com Thanks.

Metronic said...

to m31,
haven't seen you for a while ah. hehe

Crabliu said...

Qianhu:

I am pretty interested in the question you raised - How low is low enough?

I am not familiar with TA. I used to catch the fallen knife, but loss finally. And Laoda mentioned several times that we want the balloon rather than the hammer. So I dare not to catch the falling knife anymore. I guess it is a mixture of TA and psychologic problem.

Eager to read your thoughts. liucrab@gmail.com

Thanks!

BAC said...

hi, qianhu, could u send me? my email is bac@istill.net

ichappysky said...

I have the same question about the waiting-for-confirm method . TA methods generally have the same dilemma. So I guess your new method is combining TA with something else (common sense, psychology etc). Could you kindly send me a copy too? Thanks!!

ichappysky said...

Forgot to add my email. ichappysky@gmail.com. Thanks again

Hu said...

Just a newbie and want to start a successful investment. Please count me in wanghu001@gmail.com

Metronic said...

wow, suddenly so many people,
I will email to you early next morning when I wake up:)

Carol said...

hehe, qianhu 卖官司,呵呵
给俺也发一份:-)

Unknown said...

Qianhu niu!
janhaus@gmail.com

Very interested!

cottontail said...

Qianhu:

I got the same experience of "catching knife". Sometimes it is really hard to "confirm" the bottom, the stock will bounce back in one night and it will be too late to get in. I am quite interested in the article. Could you please send one to cottontail@gmail.com ? thanks!

sunshine said...

my email is: sggeng@gmail.com
Thanks,

Unknown said...

I am diver here and mitbbs. Thanks for your info. I am eager to learn more. Email: nearperfect@gmail.com

Unknown said...

i would like to have your advanced tech even if i am so beginning.
my email is coldeyesdr@gmail.com

Unknown said...

could you give me a copy of your advanced tech. Thanks so much !
my email is phoenix2008@gmail.com

jyli said...

Can you please leave a copy to my email: jianyang.shopping@gmail.com
Thanks.

Unknown said...

hi all folks,
the file has been sent, pls check your mailbox:)

Tinman said...

Qianhu,

I am late here, could you send me one?

SanDiegoCoder@gmail.com

Many Thanks !

Unknown said...

Thanks Qianhu :)
wood.bbs@gmail.com

Min Jia said...

Late here. I am a newbie but would really like to start. Can I have a copy too? THX..

LT101 said...

ltlt_75@hotmail.com

thank you!!

Unknown said...

This is a very interting post. Could you send me a copy too?
wuligang@gmail.com

LLNL