Thursday, May 17, 2007

CSUN landing

getting in:)
This guy open really benign, around $12.
According to its current price, we get trailing P/E around 35.
But check its competitor's PE,STP 52, TSL, 74, JASO 56.
if we take the min of P/E, 52, the price could go to $18.
Speculate or not , it is in your hand.

===
setting a trailing stop for CSUN

NMX comes back from its $120 support. This is a super strong support, huh?
really good for playing option around this area.

===
CSUN hit the trailing stop just now hehe

50 comments:

Carol said...

I'll wait until next week :-)
It's very good today, the greenest on my list, hehe

Metronic said...

how funny this guy goes:)

bobby said...

i felt it will go above 15 when it did not fell below 14.1 at 2pm.
But, 今天沉重悼念林妹妹,木有TRADE,:(

bobby said...

市场真TMD的牛。

Metronic said...

hehe, what about lin mm?
according to zu de's blog, it is a rumer. I don't know whether it is true or not.

bobby said...

kao!, rumor?! 那我更要哭死了。

bobby said...

宋祖德是个大~~~烂人。
I think it is true. 好好的咒人家死干什么呀。

Metronic said...

I dont know the truth, bobby:)

happydayone said...

Qianhu: congs to you on the trading of CSUN. I am in the office and can't do anything other than watching. Felt quite happy for you

Metronic said...

oh,Thanks happydayone.:)

bobobobo said...

qianhu,

check with vlo and nmx today's out of money option. vlo is better than nmx for today.

there must be some reasons I asked you to look at the after market price of those 2. I will tell you why once I get back.

for oil stock, usually it's not just about TA, cause it always in the tunnel.

I sold all of my vlo call and enter another 60% of nmx call this afternoon. nmx is picking up.

congs to your CSUN, play option, you can have the decent gain every week.


still on trip, take care

tomx said...

great call! but I missed it.
sigh.. lost too much in the previous 2 weeks, don't even dare to open the trading software now.. :( deeply deeply under water.. 55555~~~~

happydayone said...

What is "out of money option" mentioned in Bobobobo's post? I saw people are still trading vlo AH but nobody do it on NMX. BTW, NMX is super today. congs to myself.

happydayone said...

Qianhu, I notice that both STP and CSUN have a business marriage with overseas sillicon manufacturer. No good silicom producer in China?

bobby said...

wen, I had similar experience several weeks ago when my account was down 18%. I was angry to myself and totally lost my confidence. Stopped trading for several days, read books and blogs, and gradually calmed down. Now I feel much better. I don't bother myself about how to make up my losses asap. Just be happy that it does not goes further down. And my account is actually growing back. I guess this is the journey we must go through as newbies.
Just don't give up. Take care.

tomx said...

thanks bobby, I'll try to get thru this bit hit. I think I need to stop trading for at least a month... sigh..

happydayone said...

totally agree with bobobobo: the journey we must go through as newbies.

Let us stand-up at where we fell

Metronic said...

hi Bobobobo,
I don't know how to play option yet? what do you want me to check? but no matter what, I will learn from you later on.:)

Metronic said...

hi wen,
don't feel sad, we always have chance, just need to be patient to wait for the chance. When it comes, react decisively.

Metronic said...

hi HappyDayOne,
right, there is not high quality polysilicon producer in China because the lack of technology. That is the advantage of WFR.

Metronic said...

hehe, bobby,
you have learned quite so much. Let's grow our account together.
I am also in the process of learning.

Metronic said...

tomx,
you are high hand, don't cheat us. hehe

tomx said...

metronic, don't laugh at me lah.. I am serious in trouble. :( no kidding..

Metronic said...

what happen, tomx?
anything that we can help?

bobby said...

ft, fooled by tomx.

不过TOMX赔钱我也不稀奇,高手也会有失手的时候,要不就没有HF关门了。Livermore也不会破产三次了。

You've still got priceless saysay. :) Best wishes.

Metronic said...

heihei, bobby is right,
priceless saysay.

bobobobo said...

VLO


 
Valero Energy Corporation



Pre-Market Quotes |  Pre-Market Charts |  After Hours Quotes |  After Hours Charts
May 16, 2007 Market Close: $ 72.03










 
After Hours Trade Reporting
Wednesday May 16
 


 

After Hours
Last:
$ 72.10
 
After Hours
High:
$ 72.3547

After Hours
Volume:
953,300
 
After Hours
Low:
$ 71.23



After Hours
Time (ET)
After Hours
Price
After Hours
Share Volume

19:50
 $ 72.10
100

19:45
 $ 71.97
200

19:26
 $ 71.83
100

18:58
 $ 72.13
100

18:58
 $ 71.95
100

18:46
 $ 71.98
100

18:46
 $ 72
200

18:18
 $ 71.85
100

17:54
 $ 71.95
100

17:23
 $ 72.01
100

17:23
 $ 72.05
100

16:42
 $ 72.3547
18,300

16:35
 $ 72.03
633,600

16:31
 $ 71.96
100

16:27
 $ 71.98
100

16:27
 $ 71.6706
2,700

16:22
 $ 71.90
12,700

16:19
 $ 72.03
1,000

16:16
 $ 72.03
100

16:13
 $ 71.6908
147,900

16:13
 $ 71.6807
4,600

16:13
 $ 72
1,000

16:10
 $ 71.6878
200

16:10
 $ 71.9082
100

16:09
 $ 71.23
90,000

16:09
 $ 71.6878
8,200

16:08
 $ 71.99
5,200

16:03
 $ 71.96
800

16:02
 $ 71.99
100

16:02
 $ 71.96
100

16:02
 $ 71.99
100

16:00
 $ 72.03
25,000










Extended Trading


 

 

 


 


 










GRP


 
Grant Prideco, Inc.



Pre-Market Quotes |  Pre-Market Charts |  After Hours Quotes |  After Hours Charts
May 16, 2007 Market Close: $ 54.47










 
After Hours Trade Reporting
Wednesday May 16
 


 

After Hours
Last:
$ 54.47
 
After Hours
High:
$ 54.47

After Hours
Volume:
12,400
 
After Hours
Low:
$ 53.8721



After Hours
Time (ET)
After Hours
Price
After Hours
Share Volume

16:19
 $ 54.47
200

16:13
 $ 53.8721
400

16:11
 $ 53.8721
10,000

16:11
 $ 53.8721
1,800







1





NMX


 
Nymex Holdings, Inc.



Pre-Market Quotes |  Pre-Market Charts |  After Hours Quotes |  After Hours Charts
May 16, 2007 Market Close: $ 120.79










 
After Hours Trade Reporting
Wednesday May 16
 


 

After Hours
Last:
$ 119.6205
 
After Hours
High:
$ 120.97

After Hours
Volume:
33,600
 
After Hours
Low:
$ 119.6205



After Hours
Time (ET)
After Hours
Price
After Hours
Share Volume

17:16
 $ 119.6205
10,500

17:13
 $ 120.75
100

16:32
 $ 120.97
100

16:32
 $ 120.97
400

16:24
 $ 120.75
100

16:22
 $ 119.6471
10,500

16:06
 $ 120.79
1,300

16:04
 $ 119.6205
10,500

16:01
 $ 120.58
100

qianhu brother,

I want you to look at vlo, grp, and nmx's after market trading. many story from there. which also helped me to make today's trading decision---- played vlo/grp May out of money call first, then get in nmx June call before it really explode.

I will explain it in detail once I have more time.

we complement each other very well, can alway learn something new from the other side, that's a really wonderful thing in this atmosphere.

back to school again after working for 2 years. watching the endless Cayuga lake, listening to my favorite music, enjoying the breeze and the smell of freedom. what a live.

How's the idea of sailing together in finger lakes and have wenwei play violion for us someday? I used to play violion before my finger broke.

take care!

tomx said...

xixi. indeed, SaySay is priceless to me. ;-)

Metronic said...

yes,
in after hour, VLO has high trading volume around 71. for NMX high volume at 119.5, does it mean sth?

Hehe, it is nice to have weiwei play violin, what about your mm? ask her to practice too. hehe

bobobobo said...

U know I am old, think about I started to invest back in 1992, I am married, and enjoy the marriage everyday. My wife is pretty good at piano. No a professional though.

U haven't digged out the story of the after hour trade yet. Will let u know once I return to NJ. I am not a full time student yet, plan to be. Compare my salary with my tradinf gain, my current job become meanless.

bobobobo said...

funning stuff about nmx


信人: bobobobo (haha), 信区: Stock
标 题: Re: 为什么CME和ICE同时大涨
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri May 11 12:45:22 2007)

after 124, next daily high will be 126.8

-----------------------------------

短期压力在126.6


来源: 捣乱者 于 07-05-17 12:05:28 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄悄话]


回答: nmx是唯一来抄过的期交所题才........ 由 捣乱者 于 2007-05-17 12:04:38
--------------------------------
there is only 20 cents different between me and daoluan's prediction. I have learned his skill, and better.

Metronic said...

let me check those data again.:)

bobobobo said...

BTW, I start to watch grow.

happydayone said...

I drew two graphs for comparison using the data given by bobby. NMX seems have a buy at every tiny dip, but vlo traders was very busy just after market close with huge volume. Still cluelss.

Carol said...

Your blog is more and more meaningful! I like it Qianhu, keep it up.

Tom, don't be upset, everyone go through that period. It is real loss if we sell, it will come back, give it some time.

I found myself cutting meat to raise cash only to get into another hole and fell deeper. I already stopped doing that although it is quite difficult for a newbie like me.

Anyway, good luck to all!

Metronic said...

hey bobobobo brother,
could you explain more?

hey carol,
I think you just need to calm down, and that is it. hehe.

bobby said...

hehe, happydayone, 此bobobobo,乃niu ren,非彼bobby,乃newbie.

Metronic said...

heihei, bobby,
you are famous too.

bobby said...

cramer帮忙,早上15.5捞了点。

Unknown said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Metronic said...

hehe, Crammer said NYX go to $150 by the end of May.

bobby said...

感觉cramer的短期效应还是很强的,不可忽视。

bobby said...

out at 14.9.
顾东不顾西,又没有计划好。sigh。

Metronic said...

bobby,
yes, don't trade it unless you feel comfortable and know what to do.

tomx said...

metronic, I am looking at wfr and txn for a mid to long term investment, going to hold it for at least 30 days. do you think the price now it good to get in?

bobby said...

是,今天很惭愧。已经在反省了。

happydayone said...

The run of nmx today is very good. I still hold NYX since the drama is getting more interesting with JPM boarding. Just to gain some experience for fun.

Metronic said...

ya, NYX may come back.

Robin said...

CSUN is a great pick, I am thinking to load it once this wave cools down.
around 13,might be a consolidation and loading zone

Unknown said...

累了,过来骚扰一下,呵呵。